July 23, 2024 Tuesday Update
Atlantic tropics still quiet for next 2-weeks
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Tuesday Headlines
The main weather feature across the Lower 48 is a stationary front that continues to lazily sag across Texas into the Carolinas focusing clouds/rain and keeping temperatures in check. An area of low pressure moves through the Great Lakes. Not expecting much in the way of severe weather.
Tuesday Weather
Heavy rain across Texas to the Carolinas along the long-stationary frontal boundary. Some pop-up showers across the Great Basin / West to provide spotty relief from the brutal heat.
Tuesday High temperatures
84 million population at least 90°F with 80s for 300 million — could be much worse/hotter for July 23.
Atlantic Tropics are showing slight (< 10%) signs of development in early August but remain dead through the remainder of July 2024. There are 3 out of 51 members w/hurricanes developing out of a tropical wave in the 10-12 day range.
Western Pacific Typhoon Gaemi (05W):
Typhoon Gaemi is steadily intensifying with a hint of an eye developing on IR imagery. The system is traveling over high ocean heat content on track to landfall northeast Taiwan later on Wednesday at 110-120 knots intensity = Category 3-4.
Ocean Heat Content | Gaemi (05W) 
Gaemi will be disrupted as it landfalls Taiwan but unbelievable amounts of rainfall will fall on the island. A second landfall in China will come by Friday likely as a large Typhoon.
Rainfall from Gaemi (05W) from GFS 06z
Atlantic Basin GeoColor Satellite Imagery
Highlighting the Saharan dust cloud that may miss Florida just to the south according to the NASA GEOS-5 modeling.
NWS WPC 7-Day Precipitation Forecast | Watering Needs
Significant rainfall for half of Texas including Houston. The southeast will continue to see unsettled weather with clouds and rain keeping temperatures in check.
10-Day Precipitation Anomaly (%)
Weekly Temperature Anomaly
EPS Week 1: July 23-29, 2024
EPS Week 2: July 30-Aug 5, 2024
Major warming trend for the Central U.S. including Denver into the upper-90s and lower-100s. Fortunately, it is much cooler at night.
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In this era of very rapid global heating, even liberal arts majors should be required to take mandatory courses in atmospheric and oceanographic sciences.