Hurricane Forecast for Florida Gulf Coast

NHC maximum intensity is 80 knots

While aircraft recon is en route, NHC hesitated to make major changes to the forecast track of TD 10L (Idalia). However, mesoscale model guidance shows high risk of rapid intensification over the very warm waters of the eastern Gulf of Mexico in excess of 30°C.

The depression is still loosely organized with bursts of convection rotating around a center …